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Wordleconomics

When in doubt, SLATE it out.

Over the past year, I've become quite invested in Wordle. Actually, Taylor and her family started playing first, and I quickly joined in. Soon enough, I even got my mom hooked on it!

If you're not familiar, Wordle is an engaging daily puzzle where you have six tries to guess a secret five-letter word, guided by helpful color-coded hints.

Throughout the year, I consistently chose the same starter: SLATE.

S L A T E

It felt safe and reliable—I always knew my next steps based on it. However, Taylor experimented with different starters and consistently crushed it.

This made me curious: what are actually the best starting words? After some digging, familiar contenders: CRANE, SLATE, TRACE, CRATE, CARET. I've compiled a comprehensive list below for (both of our) future reference.

C R A N E
S L A T E
T R A C E
C R A T E
C A R E T

Identifying the Optimal Starters

Rather than relying solely on intuition or AI, I wanted to see if a straightforward, "old-school" program could crack this puzzle. First, we needed a suitable dictionary of words. Unix and macOS provide the standard words library, but this includes obscure entries that Wordle may not recognize.

Next, we required an effective scoring method. A straightforward approach is to calculate letter frequency across all words—the more frequently a letter appears, the higher its score.

Quickly, some letters emerged as particularly common:

  • Most frequent: S, E, A
  • Moderately frequent: O, R, I

Interestingly, four of these letters are vowels: E, A, O, I.

Positional frequency matters too—letters are scored higher if they're common in specific positions within words.

Notably:

  • The {S, 4} combination (a trailing "S") dominates, suggesting many plurals.
    • {S, 4}: ____S
  • Other frequent positional letters:
    • {A, 1}: _A___
    • {E, 1}: _E___
    • {E, 3}: ___E_
    • {I, 1}: _I___
    • {O, 1}: _O___
    • {S, 0}: S____
    • {T, 0}: T____
    • {U, 1}: _U___
    • {Y, 4}: ____Y

Finally, by combining aggregate letter frequency and positional data, a hybrid scoring system emerged. This method offers a more balanced and nuanced approach, producing unique top words: AEROS, SOARE, REAIS, AROSE, and RAISE.

A E R O S
S O A R E
R E A I S
A R O S E
R A I S E

Even when you feed my script the same 2,309‑word official Wordle answer list that WordleBot uses, our rankings still diverge because of how we each value information: my hybrid metric simply adds up how frequently each letter—and, to a lesser degree (10 % blend), each letter‑in‑position—appears across all answers, then zeroes out any word with duplicate letters on turn one, so high‑coverage vowel‑heavy options like AEROS and SOARE dominate; WordleBot, by contrast, runs a full entropy simulation for every guess and keeps duplicate letters if they shrink the remaining solution space, which is why consonant‑balanced staples like CRANE and SLATE top its chart. In short, we share the same dictionary; the gulf comes from aggregate‑frequency math versus entropy‑driven feedback simulation, plus my harsh repeat‑letter penalty and modest positional weight.

Parting Thoughts

Choosing the ideal Wordle starter is about balancing letter frequency and positional insights. Popular starters like CRANE and SLATE remain consistently strong choices due to their strategic letter placement and high-frequency letters. Meanwhile, hybrid scoring systems, which blend multiple metrics, offer compelling alternatives like SOARE and AEROS, maximizing initial guess effectiveness.

Whether sticking with tried-and-true favorites or exploring data-driven options, the real fun of Wordle lies in its daily puzzle-solving and the friends and family your spend doing it with.

My Words

The words generated by my program rank first by a hybrid metric (10% blend), then positional, then aggregate letter frequencies. The metrics are calculated by a sum of the letter’s value, with the value equaling the number of letter occurrences / total words. Positional does the same over the individual positions.

Word Hybrid # Hybrid Position # Position Aggregate # Aggregate
AEROS 1 0.98841 1 1.89498
SOARE 2 0.98324 3 1.89498
REAIS 3 0.97544 7 1.86772
AROSE 4 0.97213 2 1.89498
RAISE 5 0.96532 6 1.86772
SERIA 6 0.96462 9 1.86772
SERAI 7 0.96366 8 1.86772
LARES 8 0.96129 19 0.77624 17 1.82195
RALES 9 0.96041 20 1.82195
TARES 10 0.95962 6 0.79354
ARISE 11 0.95871 5 1.86772
ALOES 12 0.95772 10 1.83063
AESIR 13 0.95761 4 1.86772
RATES 14 0.95669
TOEAS 15 0.95635 13 1.82518
ARLES 16 0.95380 14 1.82195
RANES 17 0.95379 23 0.77186 41 1.80754
NARES 18 0.95341 29 0.76567 40 1.80754
EARLS 19 0.95316 15 1.82195
LAERS 20 0.95265 16 1.82195
REALS 21 0.95174 21 1.82195
TERAS 22 0.95116 37 1.81649
LEARS 23 0.95079 19 1.82195
TEARS 24 0.94912 35 1.81649
AEONS 25 0.94816
PARES 1 0.81023
BARES 2 0.80168
CARES 3 0.79946
MARES 4 0.79818 90 1.74042
PANES 5 0.79441
PORES 7 0.79219
BANES 8 0.78586
PALES 9 0.78458
BORES 10 0.78364
CANES 11 0.78364
DARES 12 0.78364 60 1.75988
MANES 13 0.78236
CORES 14 0.78142
GARES 15 0.78028
MORES 16 0.78014
FARES 17 0.77765
PONES 18 0.77637
BALES 20 0.77604
TORES 21 0.77550
MALES 22 0.77253
HARES 24 0.76998
PATES 25 0.76856
ALOSE 11 1.83063
STOAE 12 1.82518
LASER 18 1.82195
SERAL 22 1.82195
ARETS 23 1.81649
ASTER 24 1.81649
EARST 25 1.81649

Top Words

Top recommended words based on expert analysis. Check mark ✓ applies to words that have been Wordle words before.

# Word Why it ranks
Tier A
1 CRANE (✓) Highest WordleBot skill 99/99
2 SLATE (✓) ditto 99/99 – classic S‑start, E‑end
3 TRACE (✓) 99 — covers C/R/T trio
4 CRATE (✓) anagram of TRACE
5 CARET 99, never an answer yet
6 CARTE same 99 rating
7 SLANT WordleBot 99, "hard‑mode friendly"
8 PLATE (✓) newest 98/99 pick after CRANE
9 STARE (✓) long‑time player favorite, 97
10 SAINT (✓) 97, nice S‑start / NT ending
11 LEAST WordleBot 97, duplicate‑safe
12 STALE (✓) 97, frequent solution ending
13 TASER 97, yet unused answer
14 PARSE 97, R/S/E trio
15 SNARE (✓) 96, hits S/A/R/E combo
16 TRADE (✓) 96, D tests mid‑freq cons
17 PLANE 96, vowel‑balanced
18 SANER 96, "anser" pattern
19 PLACE (✓) 96, common C/E ending
20 SLICE (✓) 96, tests C/I vowel
Tier B
21 TRICE (✓) 98 WordleBot
22 DEALT top hard‑mode 99
23 LANCE 98 alt to SLANT
24 TRIPE 95 (hard‑mode)
25 SHALT 94 skill; avoids ‑S plural issue
26 TAILS 94; S‑ending test
27 PETAL 93; alternate to PLATE
28 ROAST high 97 in WordsRated pair study
29 RAISE Tyler Glaiel's top "answer‑valid" pick
30 SAUCY Hi‑score 'future‑answer' word, Feb 2024
31 SAUCE runner‑up to SAUCY
32 SOAPY high vowel‑con repeat test
33 SEIZE Z‑check without Q/J
34 CEASE double‑E confirmation
35 BRINY tests Y‑ending
36 CRIER common bigram ‑ER
37 SALLY WordleBot 92 but strong Y test
38 SADLY similar Y test, avoids E
39 SOOTY vowel+Y, covers double‑O
40 BRINE #4 on WordsRated score list
Tier C
41 SALET MIT "optimal" (avg 3.42 guesses)
42 SOARE Glaiel/Fan #1 eliminator
43 SAINE Hackernoon highest exact‑green probability
44 SLANE MIT list #6
45 SAREE Bertrand Fan entropy #2
46 SEARE entropy #3
47 SAICE WordPlay top‑10
48 REAST MIT #2 overall
49 TRAPE MIT #5
50 PRATE MIT #7
51 TEALS MIT tied #9
52 TRAIN MIT tied #9 – introduces N
53 RANCE 3Blue1Brown "max‑4‑guess coverage"
54 RATED same study – strong D check
55 RANTS alt w/ S‑end
56 RONTE high entropy variant
57 RAILE WordPlay top‑10 (rare but allowed)
58 TRICE (✓) already in Tier A — demonstrates overlap
59 LATER Top TikTok/Reddit frequency‑ranked list pick
60 AROSE Excel/YouTube statistical pick
Tier D
61 IRATE linguist‑approved vowel+RT
62 ALTER common ALT‑ pattern
63 ADIEU 4‑vowel classic
64 AUDIO 4‑vowel alt, tests U
65 ARISE vowel/R/S spread
66 ROATE best pure eliminator, not an answer
67 SAUTE five high‑freq letters+U
68 POISE balances mid vowels/cons
69 TEASE vowel‑dense w/ common T/S/E
70 CAUSE WordRated score #7
71 SHINE fills H/N combo hole
72 NOTES Wired letter‑freq starter
73 RESIN ≈ NOTES but R swap
74 TARES Wired / Real‑Stats top 5
75 SENOR same Wired set
76 ROAST already Tier B — popular SmartLocal
77 TALES Prof. Smyth simulator #1
78 CONES simulator #2
79 HATES 97 % success in 3‑word strat
80 POUTY vowel‑light follow‑up favorite
Tier E
81 CLINT best second word for SOARE combo
82 ROUND part of 3‑word meta
83 CLIMB third word in same set
84 SALLY WordRated list (tests double L/Y)
85 SADLY Y‑ending + D check
86 SOOTY digs into double‑O / Y
87 BRINY rare B/Y test
88 SEIZE Z‑probe after vowels
89 DEALT already Tier B — hard‑mode default
90 LANCE already Tier B
91 OUIJA meme‑ish 4‑vowel+J probe
92 ABOUT vowel‑heavy common pick
93 CANOE community vowel test
94 STORE SmartLocal "other good word"
95 COALS best two‑word pair (COALS+NITER)
96 NITER complement to COALS
97 SUITE Tom's Guide demo of today's solve
98 PIQUE tests rare Q/I pair
99 TARSE Reddit pick beats SALET in 2024 tweaks
100 TILER frequency‑based R‑ending probe (Real‑Stats)

Source Code

Want the source code? Find it here.

GitHub - IllyaStarikov/starikov.co: Source code from my blog.
Source code from my blog. Contribute to IllyaStarikov/starikov.co development by creating an account on GitHub.

Maposaurus, Napoleon, and 380,000 Steps

Evil Maposaurus prepare to meet your doom. Our hero has the power, glovebox is your tomb. Grab your Garmin take on the world.

The year is 2007: the iPhone launches, The Sopranos series finale airs, and Britney Spears may or may not have hair. It’s Super Bowl XLI — the Chicago Bears vs. the Indianapolis Colts. It’s the first Super Bowl played in the rain, and we’re heading into halftime with the Bears only down by two. Sadly, they would never recover. And the world would never recover from one of the greatest commercials of all time.

I’m talking about Maposaurus. A tongue-in-cheek homage to Ultraman, this commercial featured a befuddled driver fumbling with a giant paper map — remember those? — which bursts into life as a rampaging "Maposaurus" monster. A passerby pulls out his Garmin in-car GPS unit — remember those? — and, in true Ultraman fashion, transforms into a laser-shooting hero and defeats the beast. There’s even a sick rock soundtrack to go with it.

0:00
/0:30
Evil Maposaurus, prepare to meet your doom.
Our hero has the power, glovebox is your tomb.
Grab your Garmin, take on the world.
Grab your Garmin, every boy and girl.
GPS, power, space, and truth.
MP3, traffic alerts, Bluetooth.
The champion of personal navigation. Garmin.

This commercial would go on to receive critical acclaim — and how couldn’t it?

Garmin returned the next year with another clever concept: Napoleon. Racing a red sports car through modern-day Paris, he relies on his trusty Garmin to guide him to battle. When the car screeches to a halt at its destination, Napoleon leaps out expecting war glory — only to be met by his troops presenting him with a small white pony instead of an army. I guess the joke is: even history’s greatest general can’t tell where he is without GPS.

0:00
/0:57

While Napoleon didn’t receive quite the same praise as Maposaurus, both ads are emblematic of Garmin’s cultural moment — the undisputed leader in in-car navigation. When I told people I worked at Garmin, the #1 response I got was: “The car GPS thing?” Another industry, turned into an app on your home screen.

I first saw Maposaurus during my second internship at Garmin, thanks to my then-mentor Alex. I carried that lore with me into my first full-time job the next year. When it came time for the annual corporate walking/step challenge, I already had the perfect team name: Maposaurus. While I don’t have hard proof, I distinctly remember:

  • I placed in the top 19 out of > 200 individuals
    • Walking ~380,000 steps over 1 month
  • Maposaurus ranked in the top 5 out of > 40 teams

By the end of the competition, others were inspired — and even copied our headers!

Happy Birthday, Bodie🐈

Orange is the sky’s way of smiling before it says goodnight.

Today, Bodie turns a whopping 14 years old. We took him into our home in January 2023 from Taylor’s parents, and these two years have been filled with nothing but love, paw prints on my face at 3 a.m., and many servings of sous-vide fine meats. Today, he’s getting steak tips.

Bodie's first day in his new home

First off, he’s doing great considering his hyperthyroidism. He was diagnosed about two years ago, and typically cats have a life expectancy of 1–3 years after diagnosis. But as you can see from the photos, he’s looking mighty healthy. Just like in everything else he does, I know he’ll far outlive expectations.

These days, he has many hobbies:

  • Going outside. He’s loving the California sun — and the blessed lack of mosquitoes. He enjoys it so much that he tries to sneak out now. He succeeded once, and the taste of freedom hooked him. He loves rummaging through bushes, rolling in the dirt, and getting pets from everyone in the neighborhood.
  • Sous-vide or pressure-cooked chicken and beef. With hyperthyroidism, he needs an ample supply of food. Cats can’t have seasoning or oils, and while they can eat raw meat, we prefer cooking it to reduce the risk of bacteria in store-bought cuts. That rules out the skillet (too sticky), and while boiling works, would you eat boiled meat? If he’s not getting wet food, he needs all the moisture he can get from what he eats. So now I sous-vide the meats, or Taylor pressure-cooks them.
  • ** Heating pads.** It gets cold here at night, so we set out a heating blanket for him on low with a timer. Or he’ll just sleep on one of us — whichever’s closer.
  • Cat wheel. We got it for Mallory to exercise on, but neither of them really used it for that. Bodie does love kneading it, though!
  • Obsessing over shoes. I’d rather not get into this one...
  • Screaming in the middle of the night. He doesn’t want to come to you — he wants you to come to him. Whether he’s bored, hungry, or lonely, you can count on a raspy meow echoing through the darkness.
audio-thumbnail
Bodie scream
0:00
/17.1

All in all, he lives a good life, despite the odds. He has arthritis in his paws, so he buckles every now and then. He sits and watches the world with calm detachment, occasionally blessing it with a slow blink. He’s taught me the virtues of patience, the joy of companionship, and the beauty of routines that don’t need any words.

I look forward to many more moments curled up in sunlight, many more screams at the bottom of the stairs for food, and — hopefully — no more surprise escapes.

Happy 14th Birthday, Bodie. 🍊

University of Missouri At Rolla featured in The Simpsons

It’s not often my college — Missouri University of Science and Technology, aka Missouri S&T — makes an appearance in pop culture. When it does, it’s kind of a big deal; at least me.

So I was incredibly happy to discover that Missouri S&T was featured in the Simpsons. This Reddit thread is where I found this, which lays out the premise:

Lisa was increasing her college tuition budget by gambling online. Every time she won more money, she changed her sweater to a "better" college. We [Rolla] are better than Springfield Community College and worse than Harvard, Yale, Oxford. — u/bullhonke
Lisa Simpsons featuring a retro Missouri S&T sweater (S24 E4, 11:40)

It’s fitting, at least for those of us who had the great honor of studying under the legendary Clayton Price. Price taught computer science and was well-known for making his (difficult) assignments based on his favorite show: the Simpsons. I assume many former-students have nightmares in the middle of the night, trying to articulate Bart and Homer doing something comical into code.

The irony is this episode aired 2012, and I never saw this during my tenure. Additionally this was almost a decade after Mr. Price famously got rid of his television, so clearly he never saw it either. But it’s heartwarming to us Missouri S&T alumni to know we existed in a timeline where this episode, Price, and our experiences at Rolla co-existed.

Video Game Vault 👾

The pixels and polygons I played with growing up.

PC

Nintendo 64

Gameboy Advance

PS2

PSP

Xbox 360

Stadia

Nintendo Switch

PS5

Blackwell, Missouri

Last week I traveled back to my parents. After a rewarding yet exhausting month at work, travel, and COVID, I felt it was time to reconnect with nature.

My mom and I moved to Blackwell in April of 2001, where I would remain until I graduated high school. The house has belong to my dad’s family for over 40 years now, it bears a lot of memories in its wooden bones.

The house is as rural as they come: the closest neighbor is a mile away and the closest town fifteen, everyone asks how you are even if they don’t know you, sometimes cows escape and you have to corral them back to Donna’s house. It’s quant and rustic, traditional, slow-paced and remote. A place for me to be one with the trees.

During my stay I got lots of family time. My mom’s favorite past time is going for a walk down to the river. Dad and I have more of a TV dynamic, and we mean business. In the five days of consumption we managed to watch two 2hr movies and ten episodes of friends — regularly finishing up around 1am. My sister and I do the same thing we’ve been doing since she was young: video games, namely, Mario Kart and Smash Bros.

Along with my parents, there’s a lovely dog Marley and Satan-disguised-as-a-bird George.

When I wasn’t home with my parents, we were visiting extended family. A friend of the family Kim put up a barn with a disco ball. We played board games — and I played Settlers of Catan for the first time! We had our ceremonial steak dinner at Texas Roadhouse. Steak — and meat in general — is a staple of our home. So much so, we had it for five meals.

Along with steaks, my mom took time to make some Ukrainian staples: borscht and holubsi. I only have photos of mom making them. By the time everything was finished cooking I had a singular focus: food in my belly.

Besides family time, we were able to see some really iconic sites.

We got to see my Alma Mater Missouri S&T. I was proud to show my parents the same buildings I spent four years in. Toomey Hall, where I was part of the S&T Satellite Team, who recently launched a satellite into space! The library, where I spent so much time that I found the optimal nap spots. The computer science building, which finally got an expansion it so desperately needed. I also got to see my grandma’s house near the college; it felt like a genuine legacy moment.

It wouldn’t be home if I didn’t talk about the nature. Although we have a state park a mere five minutes away, the nature is plentiful right outside the door. Going on a walk you might see something new every day.

Now, I returned to the Bay Area. Refreshed, recharged, ready to tackle new problems in new ways. Until next time, Mom and Dad.

Played Podcasts 🎧

A decade's-long playlist from all my commutes.

Podcasts

Settings

  • Default Speed 1.1x
  • Smart Speed Yes
  • Voice Boost Yes
  • Seek Back By 15 seconds
  • Seek Forward By 30 seconds
  • Stop After Each Episode Yes
  • Smart Resume Yes
  • Seek Acceleration Yes
  • Play Top Episode Next Yes
  • Smart Speed Saved 222 hours 222 hours saved using smart speed, likely using speeds of +.05x to +.35x, resulting in total podcasts of 25 days to 185 days; averaging out to ~40 minutes/day over 10 years.

Playlists

  1. Primary podcasts are my favorites, and are more ephemeral and current-event than normal.
  2. Secondary podcasts are there when I want to unplug from current-events and listen to something different.
  3. In Progress podcasts are podcasts I have started but have not completed. This often happens when there a movie, book, or game is brought up I have not played.
  4. Relax podcasts, well, help me relax. I often use these to go to bed
  5. Partner podcasts can be played with my partner at anytime, likely when commuting together.
  6. Starred podcasts were my favorite throughout years. Nostalgia.
  7. All Episodes is a complete listing of every podcast I have downloaded.

Players

THe following are recommended podcast players on iOS.

  • Overcast
    • Great overall experience
    • Developer is a podcaster
    • Smart Speed, Voice Boost
  • Castro
    • Beautiful design
    • Novel podcast management: manage a queue instead of playlists
    • Trim Silence, Enhance Voices
  • Pocket Casts
    • Video support
    • Great web player
    • Trim Silence, Volume Boost
  • Spotify
    • Many exclusives
    • Mix music and playlist
  • Apple Podcasts
    • Largest podcast bank
    • Apple ecosystem integration

Use Cases

  • Fall Asleep
  • Learn Ukrainian
  • In the car
  • While stretching
  • While prepping for dinner
  • While grinding, video games